Week 1: Sit 'Em
Sit'em articles can vary widely across fantasy websites. Some weeks you might see consistency among experts and other weeks you might not find one match between articles. Sit'em picks are focused on selecting usually solid players that are not worth starting in any given week. Circumstances might include match-up, injury watch, RBBC approach, passing vs. rushing focus, past performance, etc.
Week 1 sit'em is tough because we have yet to see the full ability of most of our expected starters. The preseason is just a gauge in most fantasy owners considerations for their Week 1 starting line-up. This week I think there are a few guys to avoid if you want to get out of the fantasy gates with a win in Week 1.
Wilson may appear to be a great option in larger leagues after he showed solid ability in the preseason, but I caution his start in Week 1 of this regular season. He is a big, mobile QB and should see some productive games this season. Reports state that he worked hard to win this starting gig and that he is a studious player who takes notes and continues to improve his game. I like this and think he has great potential. In Week 1 the match-up vs. Arizona is ugly. Arizona is a struggling offense and Seattle will be looking to punish them for this. I foresee a heavy Seattle ground game to eat up the clock. Wilson should manage this game well, but I do not think he will be the beneficiary of the most fantasy points. Keep this in mind. Arizona's defense appears to be shaping up to be top 15. At this point I am thinking we will see 180-200 yards passing, 30 rushing yards, an interception and maybe a TD.
Alright, you just read my piece on Russell Wilson and how Seattle will focus on the ground attack and are thinking what? Well, I think that Lynch's back spasms are something to be worried about. I also think that Pete Carroll and his offense will throw Robert Turbin into the mix without hesitation if Lynch is ailing. I think Lynch will fall outside the top 10 running backs in Week 1 and that Turbin will pick up the slack. Wilson has shown he can manage his backfield and the rush will take time off the clock in the match-up vs. Arizona. I think Lynch will rush for less than 60 yards, have a short reception or two and be scoreless. Turbin on the other hand will surprise when he gets his chances on the field.
Richardson is reported to return to action for Week 1 following his knee scope and rehabilitation. Coach Shurmur has indicated that Richardson will get full game reps if he does return for Week 1. I am wondering if Montario Hardesty will see Week 1 action while Richardson continues to heal. Knee scopes can often be tricky in terms of timetable for return. We will have to monitor the situation this week and see how Richardson practices. If he practices in full you can consider removing him from this sit'em list. If not, keep him on your bench. All-in-all I think we will not see Richardson in Week 1 and Cleveland is keeping Philly guessing as to what the rushing attack will look like. Hardsesty and Jackson will likely split time.
Stewart's ankle injury, though reprted not severe, kept him out of practice Sunday. This is not good news for fantasy owners. DeAngelo Williams and Stewart are a time share at best, so predicting which back comes out on top each week could be difficult anyways. Stewart has a week before Carolina's Week 1 opener vs. Tampa Bay, but not practicing means he is not ready to take full reps and Williams will get the workload. Monitor his availability. I think he will be on the field in Week 1, though I worry about his productivity. I think we will see 25-30 yards rushing, a few receptions and no score.
Jackson found a new team this offseason and is looking to take up where he left off in San Diego. There have been many reports on Jackson and how he is not going to live up to expectations this season. I am beginning to think this may be the case. Jackson is likely to be doubled up by defenses. This does not mean the big wide out will not make plays and wow us like he has in the past, but it does mean that QBs other than Rivers may not always throw his direction if such coverage exists. Josh Freemand and Jackson seem to be getting in sync though only time will tell. I am in a holding pattern with Jackson at the moment. I cannot decide whether he is a big time start or sit. Therefore, he makes this list for Week 1. I anticipate we will see Jackson grab 3-4 passes for 40-50 yards without a score. I beleive Carolina's high-powered offense is going to dictate this game.
With the release of Chris Cooley, Davis now has the starting job to himself. Griffin III is showing that he can run the offense and Washington is beginning to look like a contender. However, there is no question that Pierre Garcon is the prime target in this passing offense. Davis has to be considered a viable option, although I am not sure how he will exactly fall into play with Garcon, Moss and Hankerson. Davis is athletic and obviously has contunued to impress Shanahan enough to cut Cooley loose. His size and athleticism are solid, but I just wonder how this passing game will completly roll out and you can never guess right with a Mike Shanahan offense. My suggestion is to wait on starting Davis this week and see how passing with a young QB shakes out in Week 1. I think he will be viable as the season continues. Look for 2-3 receptions this week with yardage of 30-40 yards.