2013 Team Outlook: New York Jets
WR Clyde Gates, TEN - Not Draft Worthy
With Holmes and Hill out of the lineup last season, Gates did little on the field to draw our attention. Now with Santonio and Stephen returning, Clyde falls back to fourth on the depth chart and essentially out of the picture. Unless something happens to Holmes and Hill again, there's little reason for fantasy owners to look at Gates.
WR Stephen Hill, --- - Gamble (high risk)
Update (10/20): As Geno Smith's numbers imrpove so should Hill's. The Jets top receiver will have some very good games but those will be few and far between. Owners looking for a flex start or bye week fill-in could use Hill when the match is right.
Profile: After opening the season with a pair of touchdowns and 89 yards, Hill did little for the Jets the remainder of the season. That shouldn't have come as a surprise to anyone seeing as Stephen was a rookie last year and after week 4 he became the Jets' number one receiving option. Add in the less than mediocre play of Mark Sanchez and you have a very poor season for Hill. The good news is Hill has recovered from his LCL surgery, Holmes will be back and the Jets have a new quarterback. The bad news is the Jet's quarterback will be a rookie and this could hurt Hill's fantasy value. With great size, speed and hands, Stephen has the skills to be a number one receiver. Now he just needs a good quarterback to get him the ball. Once we see what happens under center, we'll have a better idea of what to expect from New York's receivers this season. Until then, pencil these top two guys in as second and third receivers.
WR Santonio Holmes, --- - Bust (overvalued)
Update (10/20): If Holmes could stay healthy, he could provide value for fantasy owners. Problem is Holmes has been out the with a hamstring injury, making him unreliable for fantasy owners. Once healthy again, Holmes could be a viable second receiver in larger leagues or a nice flex or bye week fill-in in smaller leagues.
Update (8/21): It sounds like Holmes may return to the practice field soon, but just how soon is yet to be seen. Once he does, it will likely take a few weeks for him to get into football shape. Holmes' injury coupled with the Jets' quarterback problems should be enough to scare away most fantasy owners.
Holmes played in just four games last season before suffering a season ending Lisfranc fracture. If Santonio's final 12 games held pace with the first 4, he would have finished the season with just over 1,000 yards. This would have been acceptable for owners looking for a solid second receiver, but no where near what we want for our number one guy. This year Holmes will first have to overcome the Lisfranc injury and then overcome playing with a rookie quarterback. This does not bode well for a player who has been very vocal in the past when it comes to 'his' chances on the field. It wouldn't surprise us to see Holmes finish the season somewhere in the 15-20 area if he can stay healthy and Geno Smith can figure out a way to get him the ball enough to keep him happy.
WR Jeremy Kerley, --- - Bye Week Fill-in
Update (10/20): Kerley has been hit or miss this season. One game he's pulling in a touchdown with 90 yards receiving, while the week before he pulled in 2 receptions for 19 yards. If you're in need of a bye week fill-in then Kerley could be useful.
Profile: When Holmes went down and the rookie on the opposite side of the field, Sanchez turned to Kerley for many of his pass attempts. In fact Kerley saw 96 targets last year, which was more than double the previous season. With a healthy Holmes and Hill back on the field and a rookie quarterback under center, we're more likely to see Kerley with 45 targets this year than 96. The only positive we see for Kerley is the loss of Dustin Keller may result in Jeremy seeing some balls which would have gone Keller's way. With so much uncertainty in the Jets' pass game, there's little reason to believe Kerley will have much of a fantasy impact this season.
WR Mohamed Massaquoi, --- - Deep-league Only
Update (8/26): Massaquoi signed with the Jets on Thursday and on Saturday made his debut with New York when the Jets faced the Giants. Due to injuries to Santonio Holmes and Braylon Edwards, the Jets were in need of a fifth receiver for the game. In Saturday's game Massaquoi had 2 receptions on 3 targets for 36 yards. Then on Monday the Jets made a move to cut their roster down to 75 players and cut Braylon Edwards, leaving room on the roster for Massaquoi. This may be good news for Massaquoi, but from a fantasy perspective this means nothing. Due to all the quarterback controversy, there is no reason for fantasy owners to want Jets receivers. Until we see something from this offense, it is best to stay away.
WR Jordan White, --- - Not Draft Worthy
White may or may not be the Jets' fifth receiver, but it really doesn't make a difference. There's no reason anyone should be looking this deep at the Jets receiving corp for a fantasy receiver. With so many questions surrounding the Jets pass game this year, it is probably best to stay away from anyone not names Holmes or Hill.