2013 Team Outlook: Indianapolis Colts
WR T.Y. Hilton, IND - Sleeper (undervalued)
Update (9-10) Hilton played only about 50 percent of the Colts' offensive snaps in week one. He is clearly behind Darrius Heyward-Bey at the moment. Fantasy owners will not be able to count on Hilton to live up to his draft potential until he passes Heyward-Bey on the depth chart.
Update (8-25): Though still not technically a starter, Hilton sure is producing like one. The second-year target hauled in two passes for 17 yards and a touchdown against the Browns in Indy's third preseason game. That's three scores for Hilton, who is coming off the bench behind Reggie Wayne and Darrius Heyward-Bey. The scoring potential is no fluke, which is why he's a high-end fantasy WR3. More snaps would be nice and the Colts are often using two-TE sets, a trend that could make Hilton's week-to-week production dicey. Overall, we're talking about a potential breakout performer who could sniff double-digit touchdowns with enough targets.
Update 8/13/13: Our very own Ian Ritchie, the #4 ranked player in the world just released his breakout candidate and he named TY Hilton his Breakout Player of the year. Here's what he had to say about Hilton:
If you believe in a guy named Luck with a horseshoe on his helmet, you must buy in to T. Y. Hilton. He is being drafted in high stakes contests at 7.1 and I believe his value will be more like a second WR. The game is starting to slow down for this speedster and his production this season will justify a much earlier pick than where he is being drafted. Take him with confidence and take his numbers to the bank.
Preview - T.Y. Hilton was a surprise performer for the Colts as a rookie in 2012. Hilton found the end zone seven times, and had 5 one hundred yard receiving games. Despite the addition of Darrius Heyward-Bey, Hilton should win a starting spot across from Reggie Wayne, and has the ability to improve upon last year's numbers. Fantasy owners should view Hilton as a low-end WR 3 heading into fantasy drafts.
WR Reggie Wayne, IND - Solid/Safe Pick
Reggie Wayne caught more than 100 passes last season, making that the third time in four years that this has happend. Wayne was second in the league in targets, and should continue to put up good numbers this season. Wayne has added value in PPR leagues and is locked in as a WR 2 in all fantasy leagues.
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, PIT - Bye Week Fill-in
Darrius Heyward-Bey is coming off a disappointing season for the Raiders, but will hope to bounce back with the Colts this season. Heyward-Bey will have a tough time beating out promising youngster T.Y. Hilton, making it unlikely that he will make much of a fantasy impact this season. Fantasy owners should view Heyward-Bey as strictly a backup this season.
WR LaVon Brazill, FA - Not Draft Worthy
LaVon Brazill should enter the season as the Colts' number 4 wide receiver this season. Brazill was not involved much in the Colts offense as a rookie, and his role should be minimal again this season. Fantasy owners should not consider drafting Brazill.
TE Dwayne Allen, IND - Quality Backup
UPDATE - Allen suffered a season ending injury and is droppable in all fantasy leagues.
Dwayne Allen was impressive in his rookie season, but his all around skill set could hinder his fantasy production going forward. Allen is an excellent blocker, which limits his opportunities to put up big fantasy numbers. Allen is only likely to produce as a TE 2 in fantasy leagues this season.
TE Coby Fleener, IND - Sleeper (undervalued)
Coby Fleener turned in a disappointing rookie season for fantasy owners. Fleener caught just 26 passes for 281 yards and two touchdowns, numbers that should be improved upon this season. The presence of Dwayne Allen hurts Fleener's chances of being an elite player, however all indications are that Fleener is going to be much more involved this season. In early pre-season action, 90% of his snaps were lined up off of the line as a wide receiver. This is exciting to see from a fantasy perspective. While Bruce Arians isn't around anymore with his deep ball mentality, we see Fleener as a huge part of the Indianapolis offense. This smells like a big time sleeper situation to us. Snag Fleener as your TE2 this year because the sky is the limit.
Update: Fleener experienced a concussion after the week one preseason game, but after only three days, he's already back on the field. It appears holding him out of practice was just a standard precautionary measure. He's good to go.