2014 Team Outlook: Seattle Seahawks
QB Russell Wilson, SEA - Solid/Safe Pick
Russell Wilson enters his third year in 2014. He scored 323 fantasy points in each of his first two seasons. In those years, Seattle has run the ball more than they've thrown the ball. In part, this is because Wilson is also an effective scrambler in his own right. In 2012, Seattle threw the ball 43-percent of the time and in 2013 they threw the ball 46-percent of the time. Part of this is just part of strategy and minimizing risk, but as Wilson grows into the position, he will throw the ball more.
With a healthy Percy Harvin ready for Week 1, Seattle will be able to do more with their passing opportunities as well since he is by far the best receiver the team has had in years. Look for Seattle to be a little more balanced this year. Perhaps a 50-50 split could be coming or closer to it. In his short career, Wilson has proven himself to be accurate (63.5-percent completion rate) and effective (eight yards per attempt). His TD rate (6.5-percent) has also been noteworthy. He could cut down on his interceptions, but with more volume, his already QB1 fantasy point totals could elevate him to push into the Top 6 fantasy QBs in the league.
QB Tarvaris Jackson, --- - Not Draft Worthy
Seattle also seems to have an interest in Terrelle Pryor, but Jackson is the backup. Both backups can run the ball, which does have some appeal if Wilson is sidelined. Jackson and Pryor don't have any fantasy value though.
RB Marshawn Lynch, OAK - Solid/Safe Pick
KINDA BEASTMODE: Lynch is a volume runner who became more involved in the passing game last year. Excluding the postseason, he ran the ball 901 times over the last three years. Not many backs are asked to carry that kind of load. That's about 19 carries per game. He averaged 4.5 yards per carry and 11.7 TDs per season over that same span. With Lynch, fantasy owners are selecting a very solid running back who is likely to carry a majority of the touches once again. In OTAs, we've heard rumors of Seattle going toward more of a committee approach to get Christine Michael more involved. Over the last three years, there was an average of 119 carries given to other backs. Michael can handle the bulk of those to prove he's ready to elevate himself as a starter in 2015. Lynch is not likely to fall back too far in carries though as long as health never becomes an issue. His floor seems pretty solid. There are some downsides to Lynch; His age (younger and more athletic backs around his average draft position) and a long history of backs who wore down around this stage of their career or had to find new creative ways to stay productive. Lynch isn't at the end of his career, not yet anyway; however, the end is much closer than his beginning. The former Cal back is a safe, but low-end RB1 this year. Due to his below-average pass-receiving totals, some may prefer to grab a big-time WR1 in the second-half of the first round of redraft leagues in both standard and PPR.
RB Robert Turbin, IND - Dynasty Only
Turbin looked serviceable in his stints with Seattle. He has had 157 carries in his two seasons. If it weren't for Michael's presence, the world might be trying to draft Turbin as the future running back in Seattle. He was able to hold off Michael for the No. 2 role last year. Nothing in this game is guaranteed, so let's see if he's able to pull that feat off again this year. He is capable and this team is committed to the run. This alone holds value. Unless Lynch gets injured, Turbin has little to no value on your fantasy squad (excluding dynasty owners).
RB Christine Michael, --- - Sleeper (undervalued)
DYNASTY STASH: Michael is in line for the Seattle running job when Lynch moves on. In last year's preseason, he looked explosive. If Lynch were to get hurt, the hype for Michael would reach a fever pitch. It's difficult to gauge and it might just depend on the league. He should be thought of as a priority handcuff. If you don't own Lynch and are looking for a wild card, he is a decent pick as well. But, the trouble with stashing a running back is being able to hold that player through bye weeks when your roster depth is tested. Consider this as you fill out your fantasy roster. If you have a lot of early byes, you might not want to gamble on Michael. If your bye weeks are later, perhaps that will give you an opportunity to see what develops before having to make tough roster decisions.
Editor's note: Patience is a virtue. The reality is that if Michael has another excellent preseason, he might be too good to sit. Lynch is great and all; however, if Seattle can provide him some rest and not lose anything by giving carries to Michael, they absolutely should.
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA - Quality Backup
Since he came onto the scene as an undrafted free agent, Baldwin has been an integral part of the offense. He has dependable hands and the trust of Russell Wilson. Baldwin has averaged 14.9 yards per catch and caught over 60-percent of the passes thrown his way. He's a nice point per catch player at times, but not consistent enough to be a full-time starter for your team. He'll be involved in Seattle's offense, although Harvin could dominate the targets. Baldwin will have a solid week when he can find the end zone, but that doesn't happen often enough to depend on him as anything more than a bench player.