Week 6: Sell High
Winning at fantasy football isn't easy. You have to make tough decisions at the right time or your season could be over before you know it. Take these guys for example: Right now everyone thinks they're going to post good numbers this year. While that may be the case, the reverse could be true and we could be looking at a not so good fantasy season. The key is figuring out when their value is at it's peak and trading them for other players whose value is on the rise. Look to upgrade another position while back filling theirs. You can never have too much depth on your team.
McNabb started off the 2008 season with 361 yards and 3 touchdowns against a bad St. Louis Rams team. The Eagles followed up their week one win with a great Monday night game against the Cowboys. In that game McNabb threw for 281 yards and a touchdown. I don't want to say that 281 yards and a touchdown is a bad game, but when the Eagles score 37 points and McNabb only has one touchdown, it's not good news for fantasy owners. In weeks 3 and 4 the Eagles played a couple of the NFL's better defenses in the Steelers and Bears. In these games McNabb averaged 230 yards passing, with a touchdown and an interception. Again, not horrible numbers, but you'd hope for something better from McNabb. The reason his numbers were down these games may have been due to Westbrook's injury. In week 5 Westbrook returned and McNabb and the Eagles were playing well. Then Westbrook goes down again and the Eagles don't score another point. At this point Westbrook's injury could keep him out a few weeks. If this becomes the case, then McNabb will likely struggle to post good numbers. If you have an opportunity to trade him, it may not be a bad idea. There's no telling how long Westbrook will be out and even if he does return, how long will it be before he's hurt again?
After suffering a season ending knee injury week 7 of last season, there was doubt in many fantasy owners' minds as to how much fantasy value Brown would hold this season. At the least, everyone figured he wouldn't be ready to play until late October. Typically it takes a full year to recover from an ACL injury. Now here we are in 2008 and in week 3 Brown torches the New England defense for 113 yards on 17 carries, and he found the end zone 4 times. Then in week 4 he does it again against the Chargers, rushing for 125 yards on 25 carries and he scored the game's only rushing touchdown. During preseason all we heard about was how good Ricky Williams looked and when Brown was ready to come back he would have a fight on his hands to regain the starting role. Well, after the past couple of weeks performances, there's no doubt in anyone's mind who the number one guy is in Miami. If you have Ronnie, now is a good time to move him. He's had a couple of good games and I doubt he'll put together a couple more like this for a few more weeks. Don't let him go cheaply though as the Dolphins do have some favorable match ups throughout the season - especially week 16 when the face the Chiefs.
When the season began had you told me Moore would run for nearly 100 yards in a game this season, I'd have told you you were crazy. With Willie Parker and Rashard Mendenhall on the roster, there was little chance Moore would see time on the field for anything other than special teams. Then next thing you know Parker suffers a knee injury and while starting in place of Willie, Mendenhall leaves the game with a broken shoulder. In steps Moore for week 5 and on 17 carries he rushes for 99 yards. If you picked up Moore for the week you had to be happy with this performance. Now that he's proven to be a viable replacement for Parker (should he become injured again), Moore now has fantasy value. While this value is limited by Parker's ability to play or not it shouldn't affect your ability to trade him. Use this week's performance to dangle Moore in front of Parker's owners. S/he should be interested in trading you for him to solidify their bench.
After Brady went down week one I advised everyone to trade Moss if they received a fair trade offer. In the next two games Moss managed just 6 receptions for 47 yards. In both games it appeared as though Moss was not into the games. It almost looked as though he was returning to the Randy Moss we all knew and disliked in Oakland. Then the Patriots had a bye in week 4 and when they returned to the field for their week 5 game against the 49ers, it looked like Moss was ready to play. Randy caught the longest pass of his Patriots career - a 66 yard touchdown in the first quarter. Through the remainder of the game Randy had 4 receptions for 45 yards. It's quite apparent that if Moss doesn't have a long reception, then his numbers will be down this season. If you didn't trade him before, this week's performance should spark some interest again. If you can trade him for someone with good value, don't hesitate to pull the trigger.
For the first time since weeks 6 and 7 of last season, Muhammad had a touchdown in back to back games. It's consistency like this that fantasy owners look for when setting their weekly lineup. While this is good news, you may want to consider the teams Carolina played the past couple weeks. Last week they played Kansas City (one of the worst defenses in the league) and in week 4 Carolina played Atlanta (one of the bottom five defenses in the league). If the Panthers were playing these teams each week then I'd say keep Muhammad in your lineup forever. However, as we say in the first three games, when Carolina faces off against a team with a defense: Muhammad is not as successful. Over the first three weeks Muhsin had fewer than 60 yards a game. If you can keep him on your bench and use him when the match up is good, then go for it. On the other hand, if you need an upgrade, try to use Muhammad's recent success to your advantage.