Since the inception of NFL Quick Snaps, Thayse and I have been answering very targeted and pin-pointed questions on fantasy strategy and which players are hot/not. During a recent mock draft, we got into a heated debate on some topics and decided we should branch out and discuss those with you. We encourage you to comment and share your opinion with us. Remember, there is no right answer until 2013.
1. Michael Vick is still rated pretty high on depth charts. What should be expected from Vick this season, and can he be a top tier fantasy QB?
Thayse- I think Vick will have some top tier games, but I continue to see a decline in his overall fantasy value. I feel he will not be as effective with his feet, which have allowed him to be a top performer in the past -- given the usual 10yrds/pt format. McCoy and the running game should take more of a load this season in my opinion as well. Vick's best season through the air was his last in which he just surpassed 3,300 yards. 9 of the 10 guys in front of him went over 4,000 with a few over 5,000. Sprinkle on the injury proneness and I pick Vick as a back up to another starter or paired with a very reliable consistent QB on my bench that may not have the top end firepower. Start Vick when I need a homerun swing and sit him when 15 points should get me the win.
Zeus- I think that assessment is spot on. His feet are what made him the fantasy freak that he is. Last year he still rushed for 589 yards, but (to put that into perspective) Cam Newton rushed for 706 and had 14 times the touchdowns on the ground. With 18 turnovers Vick also nearly set a career high. Look, his offense is explosive, but I think that his years as a fantasy top 5-8 guy are behind him. Proceed with caution.
2. Kenny Britt has shown signs of brilliance, but always seems to be sitting on the sideline. Should I take a chance on him?
Zeus- Dang, I am kind of stumped here. On one hand, Britt can be a good value pick; on the other hand, he has played in 15 games in the last two years and has not caught over 100 balls total in this three year career. He has his breakout year when he caught 42 balls for 775 and 9TD in 2012, but other than that there has been nothing to get overly excited about. I would say that Britt is a late, late, LATE round flier and that is it for me (but I am not much of a gambler). I would rather go with proven guys, or guys that are new in the league in late rounds that have the potential to make a big splash.
Thayse- For my money, Jimmy Graham somewhere in the second round. Gronk is a monster, but I like Graham's consistency. He has less targets this year to fight against and is probably going to be the go to guy more often. Gronk might have those 40 point games, but I'll take the guaranteed 17-25 at the TE position week in and week out. I had him in two leagues last year and won both. Coincidence? I think not.
Zeus- You cannot go wrong with either one of these freak shows. Both have just been ridiculous, but my money is on Gronk. The guy is insane. Yes, Jimmy Graham had 9 more catches last year, but Gronk had SIX MORE TOUCHDOWNS! When you can draft a tight end that puts up a stat line of 90 for 1,327 and 17 TDs, you are doing well. Those are better numbers than nearly all WR1s. When you can have a TE that can win your fantasy week for you, TAKE IT because it doesn't come around very often. Being Tom Brady's favorite mismatch to find on the field, draft Gronk early and often.
4. Darren Sproles had 86 catches last season and is ranked extremely high in PPR formats, can that type of production be repeated?
Thayse- I know I saw this stat last year, but I STILL didn't believe it until I saw it again just recently. Obviously Sproles' value is night and day pending the PPR structure, but given so many leagues going that way I'm sticking with it as our focus. Even with 100 points separating him from the top back, he came in #5 last year just behind the league's leading rusher. I don't see that being the case this year. 70 receptions is possible though. I'll go with that as my true over/under. I'm backing him out of my top 5, but keeping him in my top 10. You may not be able to spot him on the field, but you will spot him lighting up your stat tracker again this year.
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