ESPN's John Clayton knows a lot about the NFL. As far as teams go, he probably knows the most about the franchise closest to his home base, the Seahawks. In his recent mailbag column, he was asked which super sophomore quarterback -- Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson -- will have the most statistical success in 2013. He said Luck. Clayton didn't tab Wilson because he thinks Wilson "isn't going to throw more than 26 to 28 passes a game." So, what does that mean for fantasy purposes?
Most QBs in the NFL are attempting 30 or more passes per game. Last year, Wilson threw 393 passes, which averages out to about 24.5 per game. So, 26 to 28 would be an improvement. By comparison, Robert Griffin III averaged 26.2 passes in 15 games as a rookie, and he was a top-six fantasy quarterback despite missing a game. Sure, RG3 is a better runner than Wilson, but Wilson is very mobile, and with the help of natural experience and Percy Harvin, he is going to do just fine as a passer, even if he tops out at just 3,500 yards. Low number of attempts be damned; I'm expecting 30 total touchdowns and at least 500 rushing yards out of Wilson this season. He has definite top-five upside.