Expert Picks for Deutsche Bank Championship
Bill Haas [Yahoo Class C] - World Ranking: #44
In five starts at TPC Boston, Haas owns a top-10, three top-15s and four finishes of 22nd or better. He’s coming off a 24th-place result from The Barclays and finished 12th at the PGA Championship before missing the cut at the Wyndham Championship. Haas began the season very strong but hasn't quite been the same. However, he looks like a fairly safe option this week given his consistency at this venue.
David Toms [Yahoo Class C]
Despite shooting a 66 in the second round of The Barclays, Toms was unable to make the cut after an opening round of 73 put him in a deep hole. In the three events prior, he had finished 17th or better with two top-10s. Toms has not been impressive on this course in years, but is still worth a look. He ranks second in greens in regulation percentage, fourth in driving distance accuracy percentage, eighth in both birdie average and scoring average and second in All-Around Ranking.
Charles Howell III [Yahoo Class B] - World Ranking: #103
In his first three starts at TPC Boston, Howell finished T9, T4 and T18. However, since the course was redesigned in 2007, Howell has yet to finish better than 30th in four starts. This season, he’s made 10 straight cuts with four top-five finishes. Howell also ranks ninth in scoring average and is playing well enough to trust despite struggling thus far on this new layout.
Rickie Fowler [Yahoo Class A] - World Ranking: #10
After posting six finishes of 22nd or better in seven events (including two top-fives), Fowler has finished outside of the top 50 in his last two starts. He struggled here a year ago, finishing T41. However, if you are willing to cut Fowler some slack, he has some impressive numbers that suggest he can easily recover. Fowler sits fourth in birdie average, fifth in eagles (holes per) and 13th in both strokes gained – putting and scoring average.
Gary Woodland [Yahoo Class A] - World Ranking: #51
Don’t look now, but Woodland has scored consecutive top-15 finishes after adding his seventh top-six of the season last month at The Greenbrier Classic. He ranks fifth in driving distance, ninth in greens in regulation percentage, 15th in scoring average and 20th in birdie average. Despite never competing in this event, Woodland has played well for much of the season and can be trusted as much as any lower-tier player.
Sergio Garcia [Yahoo Class A] - World Ranking: #14
He was not eligible to play in this event last year, but Garcia has done well at TPC Boston in three career starts. He finished 26th at the site in 2009, T5 in 2008 and T17 in 2007. Garcia ranks seventh in scoring average and owns three top-10s and eight top-25s in 13 of 14 events in which he’s made the cut.
Bo Van Pelt [Yahoo Class C]
In his last 10 events, Van Pelt has finished outside of the top-25 only twice. BVP registers eighth in total driving and 10th in All-Around Ranking. Consider Van Pelt a safe option among middle-tier golfers, just as he’s been for much of the season.
Aaron Baddeley [Yahoo Class C] - World Ranking: #148
In his last four starts, Baddeley has missed cuts in two majors, but finished T11 at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational and T13 last week at The Barclays. After finishing T7 at TPC Boston in 2006 and fifth the following year, the Australian has struggled in this event. Still, he won earlier this season and with his recent performances -- majors aside -- Baddeley could regain his form at an event he’s excelled at before.
Hunter Mahan [Yahoo Class A]
Over his last eight events, Mahan has posted just one top-20 finish while missing two cuts. Despite the recent struggles, he remains impressive in several categories. Mahan sits ninth in birdie average, 13th in greens in regulation percentage, 19th in scoring average and sixth in All-Around Ranking. Last year at TPC Boston, he opened with a round of 64, but continued to slide further back in each round, finishing T33. Mahan is far more talented than his recent finishes would suggest, but is running out of time in the season.
Y.E. Yang [Yahoo Class C]
Over his last five starts, Yang has three finishes of 16th or better, highlighted by a T3 at the U.S. Open Championship. He’s coming off a T6 at The Barclays and owns five top-10 finishes in 15 starts this season. Yang is a player that can put up a big performance at any time so his lackluster history at TPC Boston isn't a cause for concern.
Charley Hoffman [Yahoo Class B] - World Ranking: #55
Coming off a T10 at The Barclays, Hoffman heads to TPC Boston to defend his title. He ranks 16th in birdie average and 18th in total driving. However, there is some risk here as Hoffman missed two cuts in three events prior to the start of the playoffs.
Justin Rose [Yahoo Class B] - World Ranking: #11
After putting together a series of solid finishes earlier in the season, Rose could be back to form following a T6 at The Barclays. Assuming for a moment Rose is in bloom, his statistics have remained solid throughout the season. He ranks seventh in greens in regulation percentage and 13th in All-Around Ranking.
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