Andrew Luck, QB, Colts
|QB - #3||61.16||IND||Active||4 years||27||6'4||240|
2016 Outlook: Stud (low risk)Last updated on Aug-04-2016 by Shawn Childs
A lot has changed in one season for the Colts' passing game. Their offensive line looks to be developing while Luck may not have the explosive weapons we once thought he had. The key for a QB to deliver an elite season is plus options in the passing game. Ideally, I like to see four to five strong receiving options, which includes the RB position, two WRs, a TE, and possibly another player at WR or TE. In 2014, Andrew had two edges at TE (Fleener and Allen) plus Hilton and Wayne. The running back (92 catches) position was serviceable in the passing game with Hakeem Nicks and Donte Moncrief combining to be strong third WR option (70 catches). If we fast forward to 2016, the Colts only have one elite WR in T.Y. Hilton. Moncrief hasn't developed as quickly as expected while battling a lingering toe issue that required surgery in the offseason. This leaves us with a questionable core at RB in the passing game plus limited talent at WR and TE. I know Luck can make players better around him, but his weapons appear to be a huge step back from his breakthrough 2014 season (4761 yards and 43 combined TDs).
Last year Andrew threw for 1881 yards and 15 TDs in seven games. This pace projected over a full season would be about 4299 passing yards and 34 passing TDs, which would be about 15 percent below his expected return. He missed a couple of games due to a right shoulder injury and his season ended after Week 9 due to a lacerated kidney.
This season Andrew will find a way to pass for 4500+ yards plus he'll even chip in with some rushing yards. His bar for TDs has to be over 30 just because he's "Andrew Luck". Luck has the potential to be a draft day value if other Fantasy owners use the same thought process I laid out in the first paragraph in his write up.
Latest References to Andrew Luck on FFToolbox:
2016 Mock Draft Results
2016 FFToolbox Mock Draft #1
June 12th, 2016
|6.04||Matt De Lima - You probably won't land Andrew Luck this late in your redraft unless you have plenty of experts as friends. Many are forgetting all the weapons at his disposal and Indy's average defense that will force Luck to score plenty of points.|
2016 FFToolbox Mock Draft #2
June 27th, 2016
|7.07||Scout Fantasy - Matt De Lima - What have you done for me lately? It's been a little while since we've seen Andrew Luck perform the way we expect him to so he slid down in the draft. Luck could easily be the highest-scoring Fantasy player and yet, you can draft him in Round 7.|
2016 FFToolbox Mock Draft #3
August 10th, 2016
|5.12||Dynasty Trade Calculator - J.P. Hurley - The QB position has become so deep, that it's ok to hold off until the later rounds in this kind of format - UNLESS Andrew Luck falls to the end of the 5th round.|
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