Andrew Luck, QB, Colts
|QB - #4||39.91||IND||Active||3 years||25||6'4||234|
2014 Outlook: Stud (low risk)Last updated on Jul-14-2014 by Larry Gold
UNLIMITED CEILING, MVP CANDIDATE. Andrew Luck enters his third year with more upside than any other QB. Luck finished 2013 outside the Top 10 in most relevant quarterback categories, but one must look beyond the numbers to grasp what awaits Luck. The former Stanford grad excelled in spite of injuries across the offense, leading his Colts to a division title with a porous offensive line and non-existent running attack (outside of two games where Donald Brown performed). Luck did his best Tom Brady impersonation and worked with a collection of young, unpolished receivers (along with TY Hilton) to maximize his success. The Colts upgraded their offensive line through the draft and signed free agent Hakeem Nicks. With Reggie Wayne and Dwayne Allen returning from injury and Trent Richardson likely more comfortable in the offense, the sky is the limit. Luck is currently the fourth QB off the board in most redraft leagues (with a 37.43 ADP), so you are already betting on a large statistical surge for Luck if you draft him. However, if you are comfortable sacrificing an elite WR or RB early in your draft to lock up a sure thing at QB, look no further than Luck.
World Championship Drafts: In dynasty, Luck is normally going QB2 overall (third round) behind only the great Aaron Rodgers. The expectations are high for this Colts QB.
Sunday's matchup between the Colts and the Cowboys was projected to be a shootout, but only one team was able to fire. Dallas won, 42-7, and the game's result was no longer in doubt with less than 5 minutes remaining in the third quarter. That's when the Colts decided to end Andrew Luck's afternoon and insert Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback.
Luck really struggled against the Cowboys and actually turned in his worst fantasy performance of the year, throwing for just 109 yards, no scores and two interceptions. He did not attempt a rush.
My condolences to those -- I assume many -- fantasy owners who were competing for a championship today with Luck. The timing of his massive dud could not have been worse, but the Colts' entire offense was stuck in mud all day long at Jerry World.
Certainly, this game was pretty much over when Indy's coaches gave Luck the hook. But is this something we will see in Week 17? The Colts have already clinched the AFC South, but they cannot gain a first-round bye in the playoffs due to their loss to the Broncos earlier this year. They will host a playoff game, but they are locked into either the No. 3 or No. 4 seed in the AFC. They really don't have much to play for next week when they face the Titans. So, will the Colts rest Luck and his main weapons next Sunday? Will he play a half? I don't know, but how Luck was handled today indicated to me that the Colts are a team looking to get to the playoffs healthy. There's no shame in that, but fantasy owners playing through Week 17 definitely don't want to see that. Perhaps we'll get a hint from head coach Chuck Pagano during the practice week, but the lack of incentive for the Colts next week is a reason to worry if you are a Luck owner. And a reason to never again play in a fantasy league that crowns its winner in the regular-season finale.
FFToolbox NFL News & Rumors12/21 - Colts sit QB Andrew Luck in third quarter of blowout loss; foreshadowing for Week 17?
12/15 - Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray to undergo surgery for broken hand, not yet ruled out for Week 16
12/6 - A 'real chance' Colts WR Reggie Wayne retires after 2014 season
2014 Mock Draft Results
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 21
|7.07||Bluefish Blitz - Elite talent, decent weapons, great schedule and he even runs a little. 7th round and I need a qb. As a bonus, if TRich scores,that's ok too.|
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 14
July 14, 2014
|5.05||KFFL - I strongly debated Bishop Sankey here. Luck gives me the most bang for my buck. He is my No. 2 overall quarterback this year.|
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