Robert Griffin III, QB, Browns
|QB||CLE||Injured Reserve||4 years||26||6'2||218||@RGIII|
2016 Outlook: Gamble (high risk)Last updated on Aug-04-2016 by Shawn Childs
It's been a couple of years since Griffin shined brightly as an upside QB. In 2012, he threw for 3200 yards with 20 passing TDs while completing 65.6 percent of his passes while gaining 8.1 yards per pass attempt. His calling card was his ability to make big plays in the running game that season (815 yards and seven TDs – 6.8 yards per carry). His game had a regression in his second season in the league as defenses seemed to be catching up with his strengths. Robert had a regression in his completion rate (60.1) and yards per rush (5.7) in 2013 while failing to score a rushing TD in 13 game due to a slow recovery from a torn ACL in his left knee late in 2012. A change in the coaching staff in Washington led to him falling out of favor which was supported by his poor play in 2014. Even with strength in his completion rate (68.7), Griffin had a massive sack total (33 in 214 pass attempts – 13.4 percent sack rate) with more decline in his yards per rush (4.6). His lack of success led to job loss and a year holding a clipboard in 2015. In his career, Robert has 14-21 record with respectable accuracy (63.9). His game early in his career was built on his explosiveness rushing the ball creating big plays in the passing game. A fresh start should do him good, but he can't carry the Browns on his back. Last year Cleveland allowed 53 sacks and 123 QB hits. If this problem repeats itself in 2016, Griffin won't survive the season healthy. He needs to play more under control with growth in his receiving core. I expect Griffin to be the starting QB while adding a spark to this offense. If he plays 16 games, 3500 passing yards and 500 rushing yards with league average TDs seems like a fair evaluation. I view him as QB2 in the Fantasy market with occasional matchup value.
Update 7/27: Josh Gordon is expected to be reinstated and will serve a four game suspension. This gives RGIII another fantastic weapon on the outside wide receiver position. This news should solidify Griffin's draft status as an optional QB2.
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