Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks: Fantasy Football Outlook

 
 
 
 
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Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
QB - #4 56.40 SEA Active 4 years 27 5'11 206 @DangeRussWilson

2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)

Last updated on Dec-12-2015 by Shawn Childs

FANTASY PROFILE / STATS & MORE

Week 14 DFS Update (12/12): Over the last three games Wilson has 12 combined TDs, which is more than double his output for the first nine games of the year (10 TDs). During his hot run he has 879 yards passing and 96 rushing yards. His success has somewhat paralleled the improvement of the Seahawks' run game (528 yards) with Rawls in the starting lineup. The Ravens struggled early defending QBs (three 30+ Fantasy points games over the first five games). Over the last four games, QBs have 63.45 Fantasy points (15.9 per game). QBs have 22 passing TDs and five 300+ passing games. Hot player, but I can't see his ticket coming in for a 4th week in a row.

Week 13 DFS Update (12/3): Wilson is making his late season push up the QB rankings after two straight plus games (649 combined yards and eight TDs). He now ranks 8th in the league with 2,723 passing yards, 18 TDs, and 399 rushing yards. He still doesn't have a rushing TD on the year, which is a surprise. The Vikings rank 5th in the NFL in QB Fantasy defense, with no QB scoring over 23.5 Fantasy points. Minnesota allows 6.9 yards per pass attempt, with no team throwing more than two passing TDs in a game. Both teams will run the ball a high percentage of the time so it's tough to believe Wilson will deliver a third straight impact game. The loss of Jimmy Graham will hurt some as defenses won't commit as much attention to defending him. Based on price, he looks like a value, but he's not in play for me.

UPDATE (11/17): Wilson has fallen well short of expectations this season, as have the Seahawks. Now past the halfway point in the season, he is not even in the upper half of Fantasy quarterbacks. He's currently the QB17. Many Fantasy experts predicted he'd be a top-three QB this season. Wilson has already matched his interception total from 2014 and has only accounted for 10 total TDs. His passing numbers aside from the interceptions are actually a bit better than last season. However, his rushing numbers are way down. He's on pace to rush for less than 700 yards and no TDs this season. Last year he rushed for 849 yards and six touchdowns. Hopefully he plays better down the stretch. With that said, he has a terrible offensive line and subpar weapons on the outside. It's far from a lock that he gets this turned around.

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After three years in the NFL, Wilson has a 36-12 record with one Super Bowl win and one memorable Super Bowl-losing mistake. His completion rate has been no worse than 63.1 percent in any season despite his subpar receiving talent. Last season, Russell set career highs in completions (285), passing attempts (452), passing yards (3,475), rushing attempts (72) and rushing yards (724). His only area of weakness was his decline in passing TDs, from 26 to 20 over the past two years. It was amazing to see how many times Wilson was able to get easy yards as a runner (10.1 yards per carry). He finished with three 100-yard rushing efforts and six rushing TDs. Russell passed for at least 300 yards twice and finished with fewer than 200 yards seven times. His value in the run game led to him finishing as the No. 6 QB in Fantasy Football World Championships scoring. Jimmy Graham will undoubtedly help, but the WR corps is still well below league average. Wilson's pass attempts per game (28.3) ranked 19.2 percent below the league average of 34.9. The Seahawks' offense is built around its power run game. This limits Russell's opportunity in the passing game, but he could set a career high in touchdowns thanks to Graham. I'm predicting 3,700 passing yards yards and 28 passing scores. Wilson can't help but run for at least 600 yards with another handful of TDs. I expect him to be a top-five Fantasy QB this season.


Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
7.10 RotoExperts/FNTSY @allinkid - Guys just keep feeding me value. A Top 3 quarterback with Wilson's kind of rushing ability, plus a legitimate passing game weapon in Jimmy Graham? Uh, thanks guys! (Comments Added Thu Aug 6 4:06:41 p.m. ET 2015)
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