T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts
2014 Outlook: Solid/Safe PickLast updated on Jul-14-2014 by Larry Gold
T.Y. Hilton is not receiving nearly as much love as he should. Hilton evolved into a complete receiver in his second year. It helps that he has been able to work with Andrew Luck since Day 1, but Hilton displayed incredible maturity taking on the lead receiving role after Reggie Wayne went down with a season-ending injury last year. Even prior to that injury, Hilton wasn't too far behind Wayne in targets, meaning the natural transition to Hilton becoming the No. 1 sooner than later was already in motion. Hilton and Luck worked to improve their chemistry, most notably seen in big games during epic comebacks. Hilton recorded 612 yards receiving on 41 catches (58 targets) over his last five games (including an incredible 18-224-2 performance in the AFC Wild Card win over the Chiefs.) The knock on Hilton is that he has to share the ball with Wayne, Hakeem Nicks and Dwayne Allen. Hilton is currently the 23rd receiver coming off the board. Look for the chemistry between Luck and Hilton to continually improve and for last year's target to reception ratio of 138:82 (60-percent catch rate) to rise. The Colts will march the ball up and down the field at will this year, meaning there will be plenty of stats to go around to all, with Hilton being the greatest beneficiary.
Editor's note: In five games last year, Hilton accounted for 670 yards. In two of those five games, he scored five TDs. In his other 11 games? He went for 413 yards and zero touchdowns. That is an average of about 38 yards per game. Many receivers struggle with huge swings in production, consistency and workload; however, Hilton is one of the more extreme cases in the NFL. Bench him the wrong week and you might miss 25-percent of his fantasy points for the season. This is something to keep in mind considering Luck's ability to spread the ball around to multiple playmakers.
FFToolbox NFL News & Rumors3/11 - Colts sign Andre Johnson to three-year, $21 million contract
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2014 Mock Draft Results
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 21
|5.10||Mr. Landry - Saw the three guys I wanted go right before me (Bell, Jennings and Thomas). Queued up Welker and watched him go. As much as this is a punt, I think it's a really good one. Even with a healthy Wayne I think he approaches last years numbers. I'll take that from my WR3.|
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 14
July 14, 2014
|5.06||Gridiron Experts - @MikeRigz - Just recently the NFL Network re-showed the playoff game between the Chiefs and Colts. Which was arguably the game of the year. I had forgotten what a game charger Hilton was in that contest. That performance alone pushed me to take him over DeSean.|
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