T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts: Fantasy Football Outlook

 
 
 
 
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T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
WR - #21 30.99 IND Active 4 years 26 5'9 180 @TYHilton13

2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)

Last updated on Dec-13-2015 by Shawn Childs

FANTASY PROFILE / STATS & MORE

Week 14 DFS Update (12/13): Hilton and the Colts struggled in Week 13, which led to a bust game in what looked like a premium matchup. He only has two games of value in 2015 (4/150/2 and 6/95/2), with both games coming at home. Hilton has scored all five of his TDs at home, while averaging nine targets per game on the year. In Week 4 he had seven catches for 67 yards on 13 targets against the Jaguars. Jacksonville is just above league average in WR Fantasy defense, with one team scoring over 50 Fantasy points. WRs have 13 TDs against them. His lack of success on the road would make him a tough play for me.

Week 13 DFS Update (12/5): Hilton had his second impact game (6/95/2) in Week 12, but he only caught half of his 12 targets. He has one 100-yard receiving game with five TDs (all at home). He's caught just under 49.5 percent of his 103 targets (9.4 per game). In 2014 Hilton had six catches for 155 yards and a TD vs. the Steelers. Pittsburgh allows the most Fantasy points to WRs, with five teams scoring over 50 Fantasy points, including the last three opponents (705 yards and eight TDs). CB Antwon Blake has faded badly of late so Hilton should be in position for a follow through game.

UPDATE (11/21): Much like the rest of the Colts' offense, Hilton has been a bit of a disappointment this season. He has predictably taken a step back in 2015. As of now he's barely a WR2. While he hasn't been awful, he also hasn't been great. Only once has he hit the 100-yard mark and he only has three touchdowns. Now that Luck is sidelined, possibly for the rest of the Fantasy season, Hilton's value could take a hit. Matt Hasselbeck is serviceable but can't use Hilton to stretch the field like Luck can.

Luck threw the ball a ton to Hilton over the first eight games in 2014. T.Y. had seven games with nine targets or more to start the year with three 100-yard receiving games and one game with 200-plus yards. At the mid-point of the season, he had 53 catches for 862 yards with two TDs on 78 targets. Over his next four games, defenses took Hilton away from Luck (15/279/3 on 23 targets). T.Y. had a career-high 19 targets in Week 14, which led to 10 catches for 150 yards and two TDs. A hamstring injury in the fourth quarter in Week 15 led to a missed game in Week 16 and limited action in Week 17. His catch rate in the playoffs was only 39.3 percent as Luck struggled to get him the ball. The Colts don't have a great line, which limits his upside in big plays. Last year Hilton caught 21 passes of 20 yards or more and six for 40 yards or more. The addition of WR Andre Johnson should create more open field for Hilton in some games as defense will need to decide which weapon they want to defend. He will be an important part of Luck's success and I expect him to catch close to 100 passes with a chance at 1,500 yards. Ideally, a fantasy owner would like him to be a pass-catching machine along the lines of WR Antonio Brown. T.Y. lacks size (5'10' and 183 lbs.) and his style hurts his TD production in the red zone. Hilton has a top-12 WR opportunity in 2015.


Indianapolis Colts WR T.Y. Hilton

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
3.07 Team Hallam - Hilton isn't an ideal WR1, but at 3.07 you get a receiver for a top QB in a top offense with plenty of targets (Comments Added Mon Aug 3 10:06:53 p.m. ET 2015)
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