Le'Veon Bell, RB, Steelers
|RB - #1||8.59||PIT||Probable||3 years||23||6'1||244|
2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)Last updated on Aug-20-2015 by Shawn Childs
When you look at the play of the Steelers' offensive line in 2014, you're left with feeling that Bell doesn't have a great opportunity in the run game. Pittsburgh gained only 4.1 rush per carry, and that's including Bell's 4.7 YPC average. The team's other running backs averaged just 3.7 YPC. Le'Veon caught 79 percent of his incredible target total of 105. He amassed 83 catches for 854 yards and three receiving TDs. All in all, he took 373 touches for 2,115 yards from scrimmage and 11 TDs. Last year, Bell was electric in Weeks 11, 13 and 14 as he rushed for a total of 484 yards on 80 carries with four rushing TDs. Le'Veon also caught 16 balls during this span for 227 yards and one score. Bell's season ended in Week 17 when he suffered a hyperextended right knee. In the offseason, he was suspended for three games for violating the league's substance abuse policy last August. He is appealing the ruling. The best outcome a fantasy owner can hope for is a two-game suspension.
So, what do you make of his 2015 fantasy value? Last year, Le'Veon scored 370.50 fantasy points in FFWC scoring, which breaks down to 23.16 fantasy points per game. With similar success minus three games, Bell would still be a 300-point back. There were only three other RBs who scored more than 300 fantasy points in PPR leagues last season. The first option a fantasy owner has is to respect Bell's talent and pay full price by drafting him No. 1 overall. You would then have to make sure you choose wisely for your RB2 and especially your RB3, who will have to start for you during Bell's suspension and in the two weeks when he and your RB2 are on bye. The best option for me would be drafting Bell's backup as long as I don't have to pay a premium. A fantasy owner would then be hoping to get 60 percent of Bell's production from the backup (possibly 13-plus fantasy points per game). This would lead to Bell and his backup combining to score about 340 fantasy points. Both strategies are viable, and draft flow will determine the best path to victory. I think Le'Veon is still worth the No. 1 pick despite his tough fantasy playoffs schedule -- at the Cincinnati Bengals, versus the Broncos and at the Ravens. It's really tough to ignore Bell's ridiculous upside if he can just score a few more touchdowns. He has excellent chance at gaining 1,800 total yards with 65-plus catches and 12 or more TDs in just 13 weeks.
Pittsburgh Steelers RB Le'Veon Bell
2015 Mock Draft Results
August 5th, 2015
|1.03||Scott Atkins - LeBron Bell is the best player in fantasy. You will need a fill-in the first few weeks (Dwill is fine) but then you're off to the races. (Comments Added Wed Aug 12 1:59:29 p.m. ET 2015)|
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