DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Texans: Fantasy Football Outlook

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DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Texans

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
WR - #4 4.27 HOU Active 3 years 23 6'1 218 @Nukdabomb

2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)

Last updated on Dec-13-2015 by Shawn Childs


Week 14 DFS Update (12/13): Hopkins has seven TDs in his last seven games, but he only has one 100-yard receiving game in his last six games. His catch production has been short in each of his last four games (five catches in each game) leading to a 50 percent catch rate over this period. On the year he has five 100-yard receiving games and 10 TDs, while averaging 12.7 targets per game. The Patriots are just below league average in WR Fantasy defense, with three teams scoring over 50 Fantasy points from the WR position. WRs have 12 TDs vs. New England. CB Malcolm Butler will cover Hopkins on many plays, but he will have plenty of support. The Patriots will take Hopkins away from Hoyer. I don't expect an impact game.

Week 13 DFS Update (12/5): The run game and game score can crush the upside of the best WRs in the game. Last week Hopkins had under 11 targets (8) for the first time all year, leading to his lowest production in 2015 (5/36). He has five 100-yard receiving games and nine TDs, while averaging 13 targets per game. WRs have 13 TDs vs. the Bills in 2015 (six in their last seven games). Buffalo had a tough time containing WR Jeremy Maclin last week (9/160/1). If the Bills can pressure Hoyer, Hopkins may struggle to make big plays. He is a great WR with game breaking ability, but I'm not sure he offers enough upside in this matchup on the road in Week 13.

UPDATE (11/21): Hopkins has been tremendous this season. Through nine games, he has 71 receptions for 927 yards and seven touchdowns. He's only had two games in which he didn't catch over 150 yards or score a touchdown. In his only two down games he still caught at least five passes for 50 yards. In those games he was covered by top corners Josh Norman and Brent Grimes. He's developed into an elite WR1 and is well out of Andre Johnson's shadow. He's going to be a star for a long time.

Hopkins had a breakthrough sophomore season as he caught 76 passes for 1,210 yards with six TDs on 127 targets. His defining moment last year came in Week 13 against the Titans. On that day, he caught all nine of his targets for 238 yards and two touchdowns. For the year, DeAndre finished only four games with more than nine targets. He ended three other games with more than 100 receiving yards. Hopkins also started to offer some consistency in PPR leagues; he had 10 games with at least five catches. With Johnson gone, DeAndre will have an even greater opportunity to catch the ball. The downside is that he will now see No. 1 cornerbacks on a weekly basis and more double coverage. Last year, Johnson was targeted 146 times, so Hopkins shouldn't be hurting for looks. He has yet to take part in OTAs following offseason wrist surgery, but he's expected to be ready for training camp. His 2015 value will ultimately be determined by an improvement in his career catch rate (58.7 percent) and better play from under center. At minimum, DeAndre will have a 90-catch opportunity, close to 1,400 yards and a chance at double-digit TDs.

Houston Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
3.05 Scout Fantasy - @mattkdelima - Defenses will clamp down on him, but it doesn't matter. This offense has nobody else now that Arian Foster is slated to be out for months. (Comments Added Wed Aug 5 12:28:20 a.m. ET 2015)
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