Sammy Watkins, WR, Bills
|WR - #19||12.78||BUF||Active||2 years||22||6'1||211||@sammywatkins|
2015 Outlook: Solid/Safe PickLast updated on Dec-13-2015 by Shawn Childs
Week 14 DFS Update (12/13): Watkins has over 100 yards receiving in his last two games and three in his last five starts. His success in the last two games (9/267/3) is due to his ability to make big plays (29.7 YPR). Sammy has six TDs in nine games (four in his last five games). Over the last five games he has averaged seven targets per game. The Eagles allow the most Fantasy points in the league to WRs, with four teams scoring over 50 Fantasy points (20 TDs allowed on the year). His price point is rising, but his targets are much shorter than the top WRs in the game.
Week 13 DFS Update (12/5): Watkins has over 100 yards receiving in two of his last four games, to deliver two impact games (8/168/1 and 6/158/2). In the other two games he only had six combined catches for 53 yards on 13 targets vs. the Jets and Patriots. The Texans rank 8th in the league in WR Fantasy defense, with most of their success coming in the last four games (438 yards and one TD, with WRs catching 49.4 percent of their targets). Watkins is a very talented player who can beat the best CBs in the league, but he needs more targets to have repeated success from week-to-week. Possible gamble.
UPDATE (10/8): Sammy Watkins is not having a very good 2015 season. The second year receiver out of Clemson is recovering from a calf injury. There isn't an argument against Watkins' being the Bills' best receiver. That said, this offense needs to show a little consistency and certainly demands a healthy LeSean McCoy in order to give Watkins' the clearest path toward success. Downgrade Watkins considerably when he returns to the starting lineup. He is a WR3 at best.
Sammy was outplayed by four rookie WRs in 2014. His lack of success was partly due to rib and groin injuries. I have to respect that he played through those ailments. Sammy had surgery to repair a small tear in his hip labrum over the winter. Buffalo expects Watkins to be ready around the start of training camp. Last year, he had five games with double-digit targets and four 100-yard performances. Sammy finished the year with 65 catches for 982 yards and six touchdowns while catching only 50.7 percent of his 128 targets. He ranked 27th among wideouts in FFWC scoring (12.5 fantasy points per game). Watkins has explosive upside, but he will lack consistency in fantasy due to the Bills' conservative style of play. However, Sammy still has a chance to be a top-15 WR in 2015 if he stays healthy.
SCOUT Fantasy: 4. Sammy Watkins had a great year for a rookie, but within the context of other rookie WRs, he has been overshadowed by guys like Odell Beckham, Mike Evans and even Kelvin Benjamin. Can he outshine them all this year to become a top-15 fantasy WR ? If defenses keyed on McCoy and Charles Clay over the middle, doesn't this give Watkins more breathing room outside?
Talbot: Watkins could outshine any of the wide receivers listed but all of them have something Watkins doesn't: A quarterback. No one yet knows who will win the quarterback competition in Buffalo. Can the winner get the ball to Watkins consistently? No one knows. If the team is successful running the ball, things could really open up for him in 2015 but the team has a lot of weapons. As you mentioned, McCoy and Charles Clay are new offensive additions, and the team will also try to get the ball to Robert Woods and Percy Harvin as well. Watkins has the ability to be a top-15 fantasy WR, but I'd be hesitant to draft him over any of the other receivers you mentioned due to the uncertainty at quarterback.
2015 Mock Draft Results
August 5th, 2015
|6.02||Team Rozek - After only taking 1 WR in the first 5 rounds I needed to start building my WR corp. Watson was productive last year despite horrible QB play and should improve this year. (Comments Added Mon Aug 3 11:19:47 p.m. ET 2015)|
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