Drew Brees, QB, Saints: Fantasy Football Outlook

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Drew Brees, QB, Saints

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
QB - #7 109.33 NO Probable 15 years 37 6'0 209 @drewbrees

2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)

Last updated on Dec-12-2015 by Shawn Childs


Week 14 DFS Update (12/12): Brees was the 13th-ranked QB in Week 13 after throwing for 282 yards and three TDs, which is completely insane in this new era of the NFL. Over the last three games at home Drew has 1,174 passing yards and 13 TDs. In his five road starts, Brees only has six passing TDs, while averaging 276.4 passing yards per game. In Week 2, he threw for 255 yards and one TD at home vs. the Bucs. Tampa is just below league average in QB Fantasy defense, with two teams scoring over 30 Fantasy points (24 passing TDs and five 300+ yard passing games). Over the last five games, only one team has over 20 Fantasy points at QB against the Bucs. He is a much weaker play on the road and Tampa's defense is improving. I do sense this game could get wide open a la Tennessee/Jacksonville in Week 13.

Week 13 DFS Update (12/3): Brees has struggled in his last two games on the road (437 combined yards and two TDs), which is disappointing after his two electric games at home (892 yards and 11 TDs). He missed the earlier game vs. the Panthers on the road when backup QB Luke McCown threw for 310 yards and no TDs. Carolina ranks second in the NFL in QB Fantasy defense, with nine teams scoring fewer than 20 Fantasy points. Tough matchup, but Brees tends to play much better at home. I don't think this game offers impact upside.

UPDATE (9/30): A slow start coupled with a shoulder injury should have Fantasy owners very concerned about Drew Brees. Age may be a factor, but the Saints' offense isn't doing him any favors. The Saints need more out of their receiving corps, but there just aren't many great options not named Brandin Cooks. Brees should be downgraded until the Saints' offense shows some signs of life. He is a very risky Fantasy play until he proves he can perform like the Brees of old.

For the fourth time in his nine seasons with the Saints, Brees led the NFL in completions (456). In eight of those years, Drew has completed 413 or more passes. In addition, Brees led the league in passing yards (4,952) for the fifth time in his career. He's thrown 33 TDs or more in each of his last seven seasons, but he has declined slightly each year since throwing a league-high 46 touchdowns in 2011. His resume is one of the best in the game, but his upside is limited by his receiving options. Marques Colston isn't the same player he once was, and Brees no longer has stud tight end Jimmy Graham. I like the upside of C.J. Spiller as part of the passing game, and Brandin Cooks has the talent to be a high-upside wideout. There's no doubt Brees is going to air the ball out as he's averaged 657 pass attempts over his last five seasons. His value in 2015 will rely on his ability to simply score touchdowns. His surrounding receiving talent suggests that total will be closer to 30 than 40. The bar will be at about 4,800 yards and 30 TDs. Although he remains a top-five QB, Drew is closer to No. 5 than No. 1.

New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
8.11 GridironExperts-Jody Smith - Brees still deserves to be ranked as a top-5 signal-caller due to his stellar consistency over the years. To grab him this late represents nice value. (Comments Added Mon Aug 3 9:16:43 p.m. ET 2015)
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