Tom Brady, QB, Patriots: Fantasy Football Outlook

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Tom Brady, QB, Patriots

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight
QB - #11 93.51 NE Active 16 years 39 6'4 225

2016 Outlook: Solid/Safe Pick

Last updated on May-10-2016 by Shawn Childs


Over 16 seasons in the NFL, Brady has a 172-51 record with four Super Bowl titles. He currently ranks 1st in NFL history in QB winning percentage (77.1) with the third most QB wins (172) in the regular season behind Brett Favre (186) and Peyton Manning (186). He trails Peyton Manning by 13,912 passing yards to rank first All-time with Drew Brees (1875 more passing yards than Brady) as a threat to beat Manning as well. He needs 111 more passing TDs to match Peyton while being tied for 3rd all-time with Brees with 428 passing TDs. Tom signed a two-year extension in the offseason, which will keep him in New England until 2019. This gives him enough time to pass Manning in some key categories if Brady can stay healthy long enough to play out his contract. This season he is expected to be suspended for four games due to his ties to Deflategate. I believe Brady will challenge this ruling leading to him being a possible value in the early Fantasy draft season. Last year Tom led the league in passing TDs (36) for the fourth time in his career (2002 – 28, 2007 – 50, and 2010 – 36). He has five straight seasons with 4000+ passing yards. Over his last six years, Brady averaged 33.8 passing TDs. Tom attempted over 600 passes in four of his last five seasons. His success last year was done with weakness on the offensive line due to injuries and below average play at WR. Brady has a great resume, and I expect another solid season. With 16 games played, I'd expect 4500+ yards with a solid shot at 35+ TDs. I'd buy him if discounted while buying insurance with Jimmy Garoppolo.

2016 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
2016 FFToolbox Mock Draft #1
June 12th, 2016
9.07 John Rozek - Brady will miss the 1st 4 games of the season but I think he?ll come back and put up top 5 numbers for the rest of the season like he did in 2015.
2016 FFToolbox Mock Draft #2
June 27th, 2016
7.12 Fantasy Guru - Tom Brolley - For now, I’m just assuming Brady isn’t missing time this season until something concrete comes from this Deflategate debacle. Brady is one of the best year in and year out, and the additions of Martellus Bennett and Chris Hogan will only help.
2016 FFToolbox Mock Draft #3
August 10th, 2016
9.08 High-Stakes Expert - Kimra Schleicher - Top 5 QB once he returns to the field in week 5. I will need a reliable backup for the first four weeks due to the suspension.
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