Tom Brady, QB, Patriots: Fantasy Football Outlook

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Tom Brady, QB, Patriots

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight
QB - #13 96.70 NE Active 15 years 37 6'4 225

2015 Outlook: Solid/Safe Pick

Last updated on Jun-02-2015 by Shawn Childs

In his career 207 starts, Brady has a 160-47 record. He has the third-most wins in league history, trailing only Peyton Manning (179) and Brett Favre (186). His .773 winning percentage is the NFL's all-time best. A big part of Tom's 2014 success should be credited to improved pass protection. He was sacked just 21 times last year as opposed to 40 times in 2013. This led to a bounce back in his completion rate (64.1) after he approached his career low in 2013 (60.5 percent). He threw more than 30 TDs for the fifth time in his last seven full seasons. His passing yards total has regressed in each of the past three years. Brady's biggest asset is his ability to minimize mistakes. Last year, he threw fewer than 10 interceptions for the fourth time in his last seven complete seasons. He finished the season as fantasy's No. 9 QB.

When you look at his receiving options, Brady has an obviously huge edge at tight end with Rob Gronkowski, and Julian Edelman is one of the top possession receivers in the league. WR Brandon LaFell is coming off the best season of his five-year career and showed some value in the end zone. A healthy Aaron Dobson would be a nice bonus for New England. Plus, Danny Amendola played his best ball in the playoffs. On the surface, Tom has below-average receiving options out of the backfield, but the Patriots have a long history of winning with less than elite talent at the skill positions. The AFC East is getting a lot tougher on the defensive line, which will force the Patriots to throw the ball more than 600 times in 2015. Although he may be suspended for the season's first four games as punishment for his role in Deflategate, pending an appeal, Tom has a reasonable schedule late in the year when fantasy championships are on the line. The suspension, which may be reduced, could turn Brady into a value draft pick who can buoy your team down the stretch.

New England Patriots QB Tom Brady

Latest Update

Jul-27-15 NFLPA and NFL have had talks regarding a settlement in Patriots QB Tom Brady's appeal

The NFLPA and NFL have reportedly "had an open line of communication in recent days regarding a potential settlement of Brady's four-game ban for his alleged role in the Deflategate scandal." The Patriots open up camp this week and many believe a decision on this six-month long debacle may be imminent before the Pats report. The league appears to be more willing to listen to a settlement, nevertheless, there's still a very good chance this ends up in a court room. Brady has not waivered on his claim that he will accept nothing less than a full retraction of the suspension.

Fantasy Analysis:

This is a huge deal for fantasy owners. My advice would be to get Brady for great value now because it would be shocking if he misses four games. Jimmy Garoppolo will play in his potential absence, however, he holds little value in anything other than DFS leagues. Brady is currently being drafted as the QB11. While he's on the field, he should put up much better than QB11 numbers. If you have the confidence that you can survive a few weeks without Brady if needed, he's an absolute steal.

FFToolbox NFL News & Rumors

7/27 - NFLPA and NFL have had talks regarding a settlement in Patriots QB Tom Brady's appeal
7/27 - Patriots WR Brandon LaFell placed on the active/PUP list Injury
7/25 - Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti and Colts owner Jim Irsay are the owners opposing QB Tom Brady's appeal
7/24 - There's 'zero chance' we get a decision on Patriots QB Tom Brady's appeal today
7/23 - Patriots QB Tom Brady has made the NFL a settlement offer in his appeal
7/23 - A settlement is unlikely in Patriots QB Tom Brady's appeal
7/21 - Commissioner Roger Goodell says 'there is no timeline' for Patriots QB Tom Brady's appeal decision
7/19 - Patriots QB Tom Brady is 'ticked off'
7/15 - If Patriots QB Tom Brady is suspended the NFLPA will challenge the league in federal court
7/9 - NFL commissioner Roger Goodell says a decision on Tom Brady's appeal 'is coming very soon'

Latest References to Tom Brady on FFToolbox:

2014 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 14
July 14, 2014
11.03 FFToolbox - Brady as a backup QB in Round 11? Too sweet to pass up. He's not dead yet!
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