Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers: Fantasy Football Outlook

 
 
 
 
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Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
QB - #2 36.54 GB Active 11 years 32 6'2 225 @AaronRodgers12

2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)

Last updated on Dec-12-2015 by Shawn Childs

FANTASY PROFILE / STATS & MORE

Week 14 DFS Update (12/12): A late Hail Mary TD saved Rodgers from a fourth straight disappointing game and it may pump some life into their dismal passing attack. He has two passing TDs or fewer in eight of his last nine games. He has three 300-yard passing games, while gaining only 6.9 yards per pass attempt (2011 - 9.2, 2012 - 7.8, 2013 - 9.0, and 2014 - 9.5). Last season Rodgers threw for 316 yards and three TDs vs. the Cowboys. Dallas ranks 5th in the NFL in QB Fantasy defense, with their last seven opponents scoring fewer than 20 Fantasy points. QBs have 12 passing TDs with one 300 yard passing game against the Cowboys. Interesting matchup >>> underachieving WRs core against and overachieving secondary. Possible low percent own with a winning payoff.

UPDATE (11/18): Rodgers has been Rodgers this season. Despite a miserable game against the Denver Broncos in which he threw for 77 yards and no touchdowns, he's still the Fantasy QB6. In nine games he's thrown for 2,270 yards, 21 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Even as the Packers struggle in real life, he does not struggle in Fantasy.

Aaron has a 70-33 career record with one Super Bowl title. Over those 103 starts, Rodgers has 225 passing TDs (2.2 per game). Although he's thrown more than 550 passes only once, his value is created by his high yards-per-attempt average (8.3 in 2014, 8.2 for his career) and penchant for throwing touchdowns (three seasons with 38 or more). Aaron battled a quad injury last year, which led to fewer rushing attempts (43 carries for 269 and two scores). Rodgers did most of his damage at home in 2014. Five of his eight 300-yard outings and 21 of his 38 passing TDs came at Lambeau Field. Aaron left some stats on the table as Green Bay just crushed most opponents when at home, averaging close to 40 points per game. His 65.6 completion rate was in line with his career resume, and Aaron has been one of the most accurate quarterbacks over the past six seasons. Rodgers has five 4,000-yard campaigns. There's no doubt Fantasy owners are well aware of his elite upside, but the challenge is determining if his success can be matched by another QB who will be available later in your draft. An owner then needs to weigh the upside of the RBs, WRs and TEs who get drafted around Rodgers. A Cowboys-Raiders-Cardinals finish in Weeks 14-16 offers big-time potential during the Fantasy playoffs. I expect him to put up 40-plus TDs and 4,500 passing yards in what should be a fun ride.


Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
3.06 RotoCurve - Rathburn - Normally I wait on QB, but getting Rodgers at this spot was just too great of value imo. (Comments Added Thu Aug 6 4:17:31 p.m. ET 2015)
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