Vincent Jackson, WR, Buccaneers: Fantasy Football Outlook

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Vincent Jackson, WR, Buccaneers

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
WR - #46 202.95 TB Active 11 years 33 6'5 230 @VincentTJackson

2015 Outlook: Solid/Safe Pick

Last updated on Dec-12-2015 by Shawn Childs


Week 14 DFS Update (12/12): Over the last three games, Jackson has 11 catches for 219 yards and a TD on 21 targets. His best game of the year came vs. the Panthers (10/147/1). In Week 2 he caught three of his five targets for 54 yards and a TD vs. the Saints. Last year he had eight catches for 144 yards on 12 targets on the road against New Orleans. Tampa will move Evans and Jackson around in their formation so both have a chance at beating CB Brandon Browner. Possible impact game if game flow leads to a wide open game.

Week 13 DFS Update (12/5): Jackson remains limited with a knee issue, but he is expected to play this week. Over the last two games he has eight catches for 132 yards and a TD on 16 targets. In his eight games played, Jackson has one impact game (10/147/1) with three TDs. Last year he had 10 catches for 90 yards and a TD in two games vs. the Falcons on 22 targets. Tampa may sacrifice him by lining up opposite CB Desmond Trufant. I can't trust him.

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Over the last three years with the Buccaneers, Jackson has played his best ball of his career. In each year, he has caught at least 70 passes for 1000 yards on 449 combined targets. His catch rate (49 percent with the Bucs and 52.3 percent for his career) is much lower than the top wide receivers in the league, as Vincent does much of his damage downfield (17 yards per catch for his career). Last year, Jackson produced his sixth season with at least 1000 receiving yards over the past seven years, but he also recorded a career-low in yards per catch (14.3). This was the result of weak play by the offensive line, which resulted in 52 sacks and below average QB play. Over the last three seasons, Jackson has seen as many targets as the top receivers in the NFL. However, his catch total pushes him to a backend WR2 with his yards per catch and TDs typically giving him mid WR2 value. Over his career, Jackson has scored 54 touchdowns in 140 games. In 2014, he only scored two TDs, which is well below his average over the previous three years (eight per year). The Bucs don't have a great TE receiving option and their WR3 is nothing special. This gives Jackson and Evans plenty of chances to catch balls. Vincent has some boom or bust value from week to week, and his targets may fall behind Evans in 2015. Last year, he finished seven games with double digit targets yet seven games with three catches or less. The late spring rumors have Tampa Bay trying to get him some snaps in the slot, which will improve his catch rate, but lower his yards per catch. With no games missed over the last four seasons, Jackson is a solid bet for another 70 catches, 1,100 yards and between six and eight touchdowns. Jackson has a great opportunity to finish the season as a solid WR2, despite the fact that his draft value has slid to mid WR3 in the early draft season (ADP - 68 as the 30th WR off the board). I respect Winston's arm and Vincent looks like a solid value play.

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
6.05 Team Davis - Jackson managed over 1,000 yards in the disaster that was the Bucs offense last year. I expect an uptick in catches and yards this year. (Comments Added Tue Aug 4 1:09:36 a.m. ET 2015)
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