Jay Cutler, QB, Bears
|QB - #24||213.38||CHI||Active||10 years||33||6'3||220|
2015 Outlook: Bust (overvalued)Last updated on Dec-12-2015 by Shawn Childs
Week 14 DFS Update (12/12): Cutler only has one combined TD in his last three games, with short passing yards in his last two starts (200 and 202 yards). In his 10 full games he has two 300-yard passing games and one game with three TDs. The Redskins rank 14th in the league in QB Fantasy defense, with one team scoring more than 30 Fantasy points (22 passing TDs allowed). Pure gamble with one elite passing option (Jeffery).
Week 13 DFS Update (12/3): Cutler has two 300-yard passing games in nine full games played, with only one game with more than two TDs. Last season he threw for 176 yards and four TDs vs. the 49ers. San Fran ranks 21st the league in QB Fantasy defense, with two teams scoring over 30 Fantasy points. Five teams have over 300 yards passing against the 49ers with 17 passing TDs allowed. Alshon Jeffery has the elite/impact look so Cutler may be serviceable at this price point in a WR hookup.
Update: August 10 - Jay Cutler has been going off the boards as QB22. While we technically did label him as a BUST, there's not too much risk in him at this point in the draft and actually, he should easily surpass QB22 production which last season was only 220 pts. We feel he's being underdrafted at this point. Don't be afraid to lock him in as your QB2 in the QB15-20 range.
It's been seven seasons since Cutler passed for over 4000 yards. During his career, Jay has averaged only 32.5 passing attempts per game. He set a career high in completion rate (66.0) and TDs (28), which was a result of 214 completions to RBs and TEs. For the second time in his career, Cutler led the league in interceptions (18). His yards per pass attempt (6.8) were the fewest in his last five seasons. Jay had four 300-yard passing games in 2014 and three games with at least three touchdowns. I don't like the Bears' offensive line and they have a tough schedule against pass defenses. The loss of Marshall will limit Chicago's explosiveness in the passing game and Alshon Jeffery needs to prove he can deliver elite stats with more attention in pass coverage. Cutler will provide value for Fantasy owners in 25 percent of his games. He is no more than an average backup Fantasy QB with more downside than upside. I expect Cutler to produce only an average season of 3800 yards and 25 TDs.
Chicago Bears QB Jay Cutler
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