DeAngelo Williams, RB, Steelers
2015 Outlook: Bust (overvalued)Last updated on Dec-13-2015 by Shawn Childs
Week 14 DFS Update (12/13): Williams did every thing right last week expect score a TD. He finished with 165 combined yards and five catches. He has three 100-yard rushing games, with six TDs in his seven starts. In relief of Le'Veon Bell in Week 8 vs. the Bengals, he had 110 combined yards on 13 touches. Cinci has climbed to 11th in RB Fantasy defense, after allowing only 15 Fantasy points per game in PPR leagues over the last four games. RBs gain 4.5 YPC with three rushing TDs (one in the last six weeks). Williams averages 23.2 touches per game as a starter while being on the field for an incredible amount of plays (91.3 percent in the last four weeks). Solid value with his impact upside tied to TDs.
Week 13 DFS Update (12/5): Over the last two games, Williams has only gained 3.3 YPC while flashing his upside vs. the Seahawks in the passing game (7/88). In his five starts he has averaged 21.6 touches per game with six TDs and 15 catches. Williams and Le'Veon Bell have combined for 248.1 Fantasy points in PPR leagues, which ranks second in the league behind Freeman and Coleman (274.5 Fantasy points). The Colts allow the 21st-most Fantasy points to RBs, with six teams scoring over 29 Fantasy points in PPR leagues. Indy allows 4.2 YPC with 11 TDs to RBs (no rushing TDs allowed over the last four games). The Colts will be concerned with the Steelers' passing game so Williams should be in position for an upside game. The best part about him is his high percentage of plays (215 over the last three weeks compared to only nine by backup RB Jordan Todman).
Williams had a tough year in 2014 due to thigh, ankle and hand injuries. He missed 10 games and averaged only 3.5 yards per carry when he was on the field. He also posted a measly five catches. It's been five years since DeAngelo has been fantasy relevant. To steal a line from Toby Keith, the Steelers know Williams can't be as good as he once was, but they are hoping he can be as good once (actually thrice) as he ever was. For a 32-year-old NFL running back, Williams has relatively low mileage on his wheels (1,432 carries in his nine-year career). He will have fantasy value only in the weeks when Bell is out of the lineup, so it's tough to own him as anything more than a handcuff.
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