Calvin Johnson, WR, Lions
2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)Last updated on Dec-12-2015 by Shawn Childs
Week 14 DFS Update (12/12): Johnson has four TDs in his last two games, but his targets (9.8) remain well below his best years in the NFL. He has scored six of his seven TDs at home and he only has one 100-yard receiving game. His catch rate (59.3) remains in a weak area with much less value in YPR (13.8). The Rams are 6th in the NFL in WR Fantasy defense, after being beat up by the Cardinals' WRs in Week 13 (23/306/1). On the year St. Louis has allowed only seven TDs to WRs. CB Janoris Jenkins ranks highly in coverage so I don't expect Johnson to go off in this game.
Johnson's stats have declined over the past two years as he has battled lingering knee and ankle injuries. Last year, Calvin missed three games and finished two others with fewer than 15 yards because of a high ankle sprain. Still, Johnson has five consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and 74 TDs in 119 career games. If you take out those two clunkers, Calvin caught 68 of 125 targets for 1,058 yards and seven scores in 11 games. Over a full season, this comes out to 99 catches, 1,539 yards and 10 TDs. Johnson finished nine games with double-digit targets and five with at least 100 yards last year. His greatness is a given, but his injury risk is starting to eat away at his draft value. He has an early ADP of 14, making him the seventh WR off the board. He can't match the volume of catches from Antonio Brown or Odell Beckham, but he has the most touchdown upside of any wide receiver. He needs to stay healthy, and the Lions' offensive line needs to play better. If you are looking for about 90 catches, 1,500 yards and 12 TDs, Calvin is still your guy.
Detroit Lions WR Calvin Johnson
2015 Mock Draft Results
August 5th, 2015
|2.01||Team Ritchie - Love me some Calvin. The Lions projected win total is 7-8 games, which means they will be losing a lot. When the Lions are losing a lot, Calvin gets a lot of garbage time points playing catch up. Explosive offensive team with the best WR in the game. (Com|
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