Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons: Fantasy Football Outlook

 
 
 
 
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Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
QB - #20 147.87 ATL Active 8 years 30 6'4 217 @M_Ryan02

2015 Outlook: Solid/Safe Pick

Last updated on Dec-12-2015 by Shawn Childs

FANTASY PROFILE / STATS & MORE

Week 14 DFS Update (12/12): Ryan has faded to 13th-highest scoring QB in the league, with fading results in TDs (two in the last two games, plus six Ints in his last three games). This season he has only one game with more than two TDs and three 300-yard passing games. Last year he threw for 528 yards and only one TD in two games vs. the Panthers. Carolina has the second-best QB Fantasy defense in the NFL, with eight teams scoring fewer than 20 Fantasy points (16 passing TDs and 6.2 yards per pass attempt). Real tough matchup with no real upside in TD in the daily games.

Week 13 DFS Update (12/3): Over his last seven games, Ryan has 10 Ints and 10 TDs. On the year, he has three 300-yard passing games, with one game with more than two TDs. In Week 8 he threw for a season high 397 yards and two TDs vs. the Bucs. Tampa grades out as just below league average in QB Fantasy defense, with some improvement in their last four games (244 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per game). Overall, QBs have 23 passing TDs vs. the Bucs, with four teams passing for 300+ yards. This is a big matchup in the NFC South. Ryan's lack of TD production (16 on the year - 1.5 per game) would lead me elsewhere.

Update (11/17): Ryan is a high-volume quarterback. He's throwing the ball just under 40 times for over 300 yards per game. Still, he's only the QB16 this season. For a guy that throws the ball 40 times per game and has Julio Jones at his disposal, that's extremely underwhelming. His issue is finding the end zone. His TD-to-INT ratio is an unimpressive 12-to-7. He's failed to top two TDs in a game this season and has five times thrown one or less.

Over the past three years, Ryan has been an elite QB, completing 64.7 percent of his passes while averaging more than 600 throws, more than 4,600 yards, 28.7 touchdowns and 15 interceptions per season. Matt has thrown for at least 4,000 yards in each of the last four seasons and has racked up at least 26 TDs in four of the past five years. Ryan had five 300-yard games and one 400-yarder in 2014. He threw three TDs or more in four games. He has two elite wideouts and does good a good job of getting the ball to his RBs. In 2015, New additions such as tight end Jacob Tamme and running back Tevin Coleman will help this passing attack even more. A better running game will likely boost Ryan's red-zone touchdown count and make Julio Jones and Roddy White more difficult to defend. I don't respect his O-line, but Ryan gets the ball out quickly to keep his sack total below the league average. His overall statistical output will depend on the health of those two star WRs. White turns 34 in November and has struggled with injuries in back-to-back years, and Jones has been chronically bothered by foot issues. The Falcons would love to run the ball more often in order to keep their defense off the field and take some pressure off of Matt's right arm. You can still pencil him in for 4,500-plus yards with an excellent chance of reaching 30 touchdowns. He could be a top-five Fantasy QB if his TD production reaches that level.


Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
8.06 Team Hallam - Didn't love anyone here and the 8-10 round if a sweet spot for QBs. Ryan with the weapons should continue to produce (Comments Added Mon Aug 3 10:31:48 p.m. ET 2015)
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