LeSean McCoy, RB, Bills: Fantasy Football Outlook

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LeSean McCoy, RB, Bills

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
RB - #13 71.94 BUF Active 7 years 27 5'11 208 @CutonDime25

2015 Outlook: Stud (low risk)

Last updated on Dec-13-2015 by Shawn Childs


Week 14 DFS Update (12/13): McCoy has over 100 yards rushing in three of his last five games, with three TDs. During this stretch he has averaged 21.2 touches and 122.8 combined yards per game. Last week McCoy was on the field for 46 of 66 RB plays so his upside is still compromised by another back. This week he will be facing his former team so Rex Ryan may give him the full ride. Philly allows 4.3 YPC with RBs scoring only three rushing TDs. The Eagles have allowed a passing TD to the RB position in four straight games, with high failure defending backs in the passing game over the last two weeks (19/248/2). In my thoughts if Karlos Williams doesn't play this week.

Week 13 DFS Update (12/5): McCoy has played very well in his last six games (115 yards per game with four TDs and 20 catches). Over this stretch he has averaged 21.5 touches per game. With Karlos Williams expected to miss this week's game with a shoulder issue. McCoy should be in line for almost the whole show at the RB position in Buffalo. Houston ranks 22nd in the league in the RB Fantasy defense, with two disaster games (50.3 and 53.9 Fantasy points). The Texans allow 4.2 YPC with nine TDs to the RB position. Houston's defense is trending upward so this upside picture may not be as clear as expected.

UPDATE (10/8): LeSean McCoy has been sidelined by a hamstring injury. Now in his seventh season, McCoy was off to a decent start before his injury. He is not a full-blown workhorse, but Fantasy owners can depend on him for 15 to 20 touches every week. Even after he returns, hamstring injuries do have a tendency to flare up again. With the emergence of rookie RB Karlos Williams as a decent backup, he may be used more often as a change-of-pace option behind McCoy moving forward.

After leading the league with 1,607 rushing yards and 2,146 yards from scrimmage in 2013, McCoy's struggled last season as he watched his yards per carry drop from 5.1 to 4.2. A lingering turf toe injury might have had a lot to do with that. Even with 339 touches in 2014, LeSean finished 12th among RBs in Fantasy Football World Championships scoring, averaging 12.85 fantasy points per game. His lack of explosiveness was really visible in the passing game (5.5 yards per catch in 2014; 10.4 in 2013). Over the last three years, McCoy has scored only 21 times after he recorded 20 TDs in 2011. For his career, LeSean is averaging 4.6 yards per rush with four 1,000-yard rushing seasons. The Bills completed 114 passes to the RB position in 2014, but their new coaching staff doesn't have the same philosophy. Jets and 49ers running backs combined for 101 receptions last year. McCoy is a very talented back with great change-of-direction quickness. The Bills don't have a great offensive line, and LeSean isn't a lock to get the goal-line carries. McCoy is a great player, but he may not be an elite RB1 in 2015.

SCOUT Fantasy: 2. There's a lot of skepticism in the Fantasy Expert community about LeSean McCoy. Even with the certainty that Rex Ryan will focus on a run-first scheme, is the skepticism justified? Isn't McCoy guaranteed to see a high volume workload both as a runner and receiver?

Talbot: I don't think the skepticism is justified. The team has said that they want to give McCoy over 300 carries in 2015. Last season, the run game couldn't get going due to the play of the offensive line. In the offseason, the team upgraded at both guard spots with rookie John Miller and Richie Incognito. Cyrus Kouandjio has also looked vastly improved at right tackle as well. In addition, the team has brought in two of the best run blocking fullbacks in the NFL in Jerome Felton and John Conner. While it's doubtful that the team carries both fullbacks, they've essentially added another blocker for McCoy. Right now, McCoy is going towards the end of round 1, and I believe that's exceptional value for McCoy in 2015.

2015 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
Expert Mock
August 5th, 2015
2.09 Scout Fantasy - @CoolCutter21 - I was shocked that McCoy fell to me here. Rex Ryan is going to ride him until the wheels fall off. (Comments Added Mon Aug 3 9:11:21 p.m. ET 2015)
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