Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots: Fantasy Football Outlook
 
 
 
 
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Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight Twitter
WR - #25 59.19 NE Out 6 years 28 5'10 200 @Edelman11

2014 Outlook: Bust (overvalued)

Last updated on Jun-23-2014 by Daniel Kalles

HIGH VOLUME OR BUST: During the 2013 offseason, Julian Edelman had a hard time getting a new contract. He eventually signed a one year with the Patriots and wasn't even assured at cracking the final roster. He did crack the final roster and had an unbelievable season, playing in all 16 games for the first time in his career and setting career- highs in most categories -- 105 receptions for 1,056 yards and six touchdowns -- becoming Tom Brady's go-to guy. This led to a four-year contract and he goes into 2014 as the clear-cut number one option. While the Patriots hope to have Gronk and Amendola healthy for a full season to take some of the load off, Edelman should have no problem catching at least 85 passes (if not more) this season. His value is obviously significantly higher in PPR leagues, so draft accordingly.

Editor's note: The planets aligned for Edelman in 2013. Injuries were abound at the position and he was thrust to the forefront due to necessity, not overwhelming must-start talent. Without the benefit of high-volume targets and receptions, Edelman is just another average receiver. If the targets decline at all, they will go to the Patriots' younger and upside-rich receivers.

Latest Update

Dec-21-14 Who's in and who's out of the early games in Week 16?

Some of you will be playing for fantasy titles in Week 17, but for the majority of us, this is the end. Championship Sunday is here, and it's time to be what this day is all about in fantasy football: A champion. Good luck to you all. To help your efforts, we'll be tracking this morning's game-time decisions and giving you the latest as the official inactives reports come out around 11:30 a.m. Eastern. Some of the bigger names we're tracking include Julio Jones and DeAndre Hopkins. Go get that ring!

-- In a late-game note, Colts WR T.Y. Hilton is considered a "longshot" to play this afternoon in Dallas. Donte Moncrief is going to be a popular high-upside WR3.
-- Falcons WR Julio Jones is officially active. He apparently has an oblique injury, which is more specific than just a "hip" injury. But if you've gotten this far, you should play him. He's got too much potential in a high-scoring game. Harry Douglas' fantasy value takes a hit. He's now more of a deep-league flex.
-- Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins is active. That's a bit of a surprise after he missed the entire practice week due to an ankle injury. He's a risk-reward WR2 versus the Ravens' injury-riddled secondary. Andre Johnson should see a lot of targets today from Case Keenum.
-- Browns cornerback Joe Haden won't play today due to a shoulder injury. Upgrade Kelvin Benjamin accordingly.
-- As expected, QB Cam Newton is starting for the Panthers. However, with his back still healing after his car accident two weeks ago, it's doubtful that he runs a lot today, lowering his ceiling. He's a low-end QB1.
-- Patriots WR Brandon LaFell is active despite being listed as questionable on injury report. With Julian Edelman out, LaFell is a very good option in daily leagues versus the Jets' pass defense. Strong WR3.
-- Chiefs WR Dwayne Bowe is active despite missing the practice week due to an illness. He has a great matchup and may finally score a touchdown today in Pittsburgh ... but he's completely undependable
-- Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph is inactive. His season -- and really, his career -- has been marred by injuries. Chase Ford is a low-cost dart throw in daily leagues, but Miami allows the fewest fantasy points to the tight end position.
-- Panthers RB DeAngelo Williams will miss yet another game due to his broken finger. Jonathan Stewart should feast on the Browns' poor run defense, especially with Newton probably running less than usual.
-- Packers RB Eddie Lacy is active. He missed some practice time due to some eye irritation brought on by a contact lens issue. He's fine. He'll be a solid RB1.
-- RB Shane Vereen is active for the Patriots. Jonas Gray is expected to be the team's leading rusher with LeGarrette Blount out, but Vereen could see an increase in targets with Edelman sidelined. He caught five passes for 71 yards and a couple of scores against these same Jets in Week 7. He is a worthy RB2 in PPR leagues.
-- RB Daniel Thomas is inactive. Damien Williams will be the change-of-pace back behind Lamar Miller.
-- Jets WR Percy Harvin is active despite an ankle injury. He is not a worthwhile play. He may see some coverage from Darrelle Revis.
-- Saints RB Travaris Cadet is inactive. He has no value with Pierre Thomas back on the field.
-- Jay Cutler is active as Jimmy Clausen's backup today in Chicago versus Detroit.
-- Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles is active despite knee and ankle injuries. He'll beast versus the Steelers.

Players who have already been ruled out for Week 16 include Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tom Savage, Rashad Jennings, Julian Edelman, LeGarrette Blount, Lorenzo Taliaferro and Austin Seferian-Jenkins. Those players and the impact of their absences will be discussed briefly below. For a full rundown of injuries across the league this week, click the source link below to the NFL's official injury report.

Fantasy Analysis:

-- Fitzpatrick broke his leg while Savage injured his knee last week. Thus, the Texans are expected to go with Case Keenum under center versus Baltimore. That's really good news for the Ravens' defense, but also possibly for Andre Johnson. Keenum started eight games for the Texans last season. In those starts, Johnson averaged 100 yards per game and scored five times. If DeAndre Hopkins is inactive, Johnson is going to be a high-floor WR3 who will see a lot of targets.
-- Jennings aggravated his ankle injury after one snap in Week 15. It would be surprising to see him play again this season. Rookie running back Andre Williams will be a volume-dependent RB2 against the Rams' pretty tough run defense. St. Louis is allowing the eighth-fewest fantasy points to RBs.
-- Edelman didn't make the trip with his teammates to New Jersey because couldn't gain clearance following a concussion. Danny Amendola will be called upon to pick up the slack in the slot, but perhaps this means more targets for running back Shane Vereen. He caught five passes for 71 yards and two touchdowns against the Jets back in Week 7.
-- Blount has been ruled out due a shoulder injury. Are we going to see another four-score game from Jonas Gray???
-- Taliaferro has been placed on injured reserve due to a sprained foot. Bernard Pierce will act as the Ravens' No. 2 runner. The bigger news out of this backfield is that starter Justin Forsett isn't on the injury report after dealing with and playing through knee and ankle issues over the past couple of weeks.
-- Seferian-Jenkins' rookie year is over because of a back injury. The second-rounder wasn't much of a fantasy factor in his first year -- 21 catches, 221 yards, two touchdowns in nine games. But at 6-foot-6 and with mid-4.5 speed, this former basketball player at the University of Washington has definite dynasty appeal.

FFToolbox NFL News & Rumors

12/21 - Who's in and who's out of the early games in Week 16? Injury
12/20 - Report: Patriots WR Julian Edelman will not play Sunday Injury

Latest References to Julian Edelman on FFToolbox:

2014 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 21
7/21/2014
6.04 #9 World Ranked Player - Brady loves him. He's filling the old Wes Welker role. I'll take a 100 catch guy as a #4 WR.
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 14
July 14, 2014
6.10 FFToolbox - Tough to determine how the WR depth chart will play out, but Edelman is the early favorite in a very good offense.
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