Arian Foster, RB, Texans
|RB - #17||26.08||HOU||Out||6 years||28||6'1||228||@ArianFoster|
2014 Outlook: Solid/Safe PickLast updated on Jun-27-2014 by Mark Morales-Smith
REMEMBER ME?: From 2010 to 2012 Arian Foster was arguably the best fantasy running back. He is a strong runner, great pass catcher and knows how to find the end zone. In 2013, Foster was solid when he played, but he also dealt with calf, hamstring and back injuries. In fact, his back injury was so severe it required surgery and ended his season after just eight games. Heading into 2014, Foster will no doubt be the feature back in Houston; however, there is serious injury risk involved in drafting him. Still, Foster is well worth the risk because his production on the field speaks for itself. Just two seasons ago, he compiled over 1,600 total yards and scored 17 TDs. With Ben Tate signing in Cleveland, it is unlikely anyone will compete with Foster for significant playing time. Andre Brown is a good back, but will undoubtedly deal with injuries like he has every season of his career. Foster can be a fringe RB1 or strong RB2 for your fantasy needs.
Editor's note: The market may have over-corrected here. Foster, just one season removed from huge numbers, is still playing on an offense which will rely heavily on him to move the chains. He retains a ton of value as a receiver out of the backfield and the team's primary goal-line back. A lot of stock is being placed on second-year backs like Montee Ball, Le'Veon Bell, Giovani Bernard, Eddie Lacy and Zac Stacy. All of these guys might come off the board before Foster. Will they all bust? Of course not, but a couple might, just ask Doug Martin. A good preseason performance or two, or even just one big run would rebound Foster's ADP (29.26) and push him up into the second round.
After a week in which a seemingly unprecedented number of big names were fell by injury, you better believe this will be a busy morning. Stay with this post and keep refreshing it consistently as we bring you the latest regarding all of the notable actives and inactives in the early kickoffs. We'll be tracking DeSean Jackson, Arian Foster, A.J. Green, Jordan Cameron, Keenan Allen, Dez Bryant, Bernard Pierce and many more. Whew.
-- According to NFL Network's Steve Wyche, Raiders running back Maurice Jones-Drew is out for today's game agianst the Patriots. He is still recovering from hand surgery this week. Darren McFadden will start again in MJD's place and is an uninspiring flex play in a likely blowout at New England.
-- In case you haven't heard already, Jamaal Charles and Arian Foster are expected to sit out today's action. Knile Davis is a strong RB2 in place of Charles while the Texans will likely go with a committee attack, led by Alfred Blue, against the Giants. Blue is a very risky flex option.
-- Aaaaaand, Foster is officially inactive. I don't really want any part of the Houston backfield today.
-- Here's a Monday night note: Bears WRs Alshon Jeffery (hamstring) and Brandon Marshall (ankle) are expected to play against the Jets. Both made it through limited practices this week and are WR1s against the Jets' poor secondary.
-- Ravens RB Bernard Pierce is inactive because of a thigh injury. Justin Forsett will start and is a decent flex option. Lorenzo Taliaferro should get some carries as well against the Browns today.
-- Browns TE Jordan Cameron is back from his shoulder injury. He didn't play in Week 2. He's a risky start against a tough Baltimore D.
-- Chargers WR Keenan Allen is active despite a groin injury. He is still a WR2 against the Bills.
-- Redskins WR DeSean Jackson is active. Reports state he will be limited by his shoulder injury, but facing his old team, you know he is going to be motivated to perform. I would lean toward starting Jackson, even on limited snaps, because I think the Redskins will try to get him into the end zone.
-- Bengals WR A.J. Green is active. He's a bit of a risk after he left last week's game early due to a lingering foot injury, but you're still starting him.
-- Rams WR Tavon Austin is out due to a knee injury. He's still a bust ....
-- Colts WR Hakeem Nicks has been ill this week, but he will be active against the Jaguars. Even with the good matchup versus the Jaguars, He's a WR5.
-- Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph is active. He was listed with an abdomen injury. He's a good garbage-time bet against the Saints. I'd probably play him over Jordan Cameron.
-- Raiders WR Rod Streater is active despite hip injury. Another garbage-time hopeful, but I'm not as optimistic here.
-- As expected, Jaguars WRs Cecil Shorts and Allen Hurns are active. Shorts is making his debut, and Allen Robinson will actually get the start over Hurns. None of these guys are more than a WR4 against the Colts.
-- WR Aaron Dobson is a healthy scratch once again. He has been replaced in the Patriots' lineup by Kenbrell Thompkins, who was scratched last week for Dobson. In the end, Julian Edelman is the only Patriots WR you can trust.
-- Patriots RB Shane Vereen, who had been listed as questionable, is active for today's game against the Raiders. He is an RB2 in PPR leagues only, and I am skeptical if game flow will go against him again this week.
-- Cowboys QB Tony Romo and Dez Bryant are both active. Both were listed as probable. Romo is a low-end QB1 in St. Louis.
-- Another late-game note: Broncos WR Wes Welker will play this afternoon in Seattle, but he won't see a full complement of snaps. He'll likely be limited to third-down and red-zone snaps. However, I think Peyton Manning will be looking to get him involved when he is on the field. Welker is a risk-reward WR3 in his season debut.
-- Rams QB Shaun Hill is active after missing last week's game. However, he is still expected to be Austin Davis' backup versus Dallas; the Rams haven't announced yet who will start. Neither QB should be anywhere near your lineups.
Players who have already been ruled out for Week 3 include Robert Griffin III, Carson Palmer, Ryan Mathews, Knowshon Moreno, Mark Ingram, Marqise Lee and Jordan Reed. For a full rundown of injuries across the league this week, click the link below to the NFL's official injury report.Fantasy Analysis:
-- Griffin dislocated his left ankle last Sunday. He doesn't need surgery, but he will miss numerous weeks. The Redskins hope to have him back by late October, but that may be too optimistic. Kirk Cousins replaced Griffin looked awesome against the Jaguars. Granted, it was the Jaguars, but he is a solid QB2 and a worthy replacement for a Griffin owner today against Philadelphia. Don't expect Washington's offense to fall off without their 2012 first-rounder. If Cousins plays well enough, he might keep the starting gig even when Griffin is ready to return.
-- The overly vague "nerve issue" in Palmer's right (throwing) shoulder that kept him sidelined in Week 2 will keep him out of today's game against the 49ers. Palmer has thrown sparingly in practice through the past two weeks, and basically all Palmer and the team can do is wait until the troublesome nerves in his shoulder begin to fire again. There's no telling when that will happen. Consider Palmer out indefinitely. Drew Stanton will get another start in Palmer's place. He was serviceable against the Giants, but San Francisco's defense presents an entirely different kind of challenge. Downgrade Michael Floyd, who caught one pass for 19 yards with Stanton under center last Sunday.
-- Mathews will miss at least month due to a sprained MCL. Donald Brown will step in to Mathews' role, taking on most of the early-down work against the Bills. He is a worthy flex play. Danny Woodhead's role remains the same, and he is only worth a chance in PPR leagues per usual.
-- Speaking of lead running backs who will be out for a month, Ingram's broken hand will need at least a month to heal. The NFL's leader in rushing touchdowns had two screws inserted into the hand earlier this week. This situation is very similar to the one in San Diego backfield. A third-string back, Khiry Robinson, has been elevated to the first string and will see a lot of early-down work in place of Ingram. Meanwhile, pass-catching force Pierre Thomas will continue to see most of his touches come through the air. Robinson is a solid start against a Vikings defense that got run over by Stevan Ridley last week.
-- Moreno will miss at least four weeks due to a dislocated left elbow. This is Lamar Miller's chance to be the No. 1 RB that the Dolphins and many analysts have predicted him to be. He opens up this stretch with an exploitable matchup against the Chiefs. However, since Miller will be playing with a sore ankle, expect Damien Williams and Orleans Darkwa to see snaps as well.
-- Injures have been rampant throughout Jacksonville's receiving corps this season, and Lee is the latest to go down. He has been ruled out due to a hamstring injury. The good news for the Jaguars is that Cecil Shorts is ready to make his regular-season debut, and Allen Hurns has rebounded quickly from his Week 2 ankle injury. Both players are Hail Mary flex plays against the Colts.
-- Reed will miss his second consecutive game thanks to a strained hamstring. Niles Paul stepped in against the Jags and saw 11 targets, catching eight of them for 99 yards and a touchdown. He's another one of those waiver-wire pickups, like Robinson and Brown, who deserve to be started right away. His matchup against the Eagles is not daunting, and as a former wideout, Paul has tremendous athleticism for a tight end.
FFToolbox NFL News & Rumors9/21 - Who's in and who's out of the early games in Week 3?
9/21 - Report: Texans RB Arian Foster is a 'longshot' to play today
9/20 - Texans RB Arian Foster listed as questionable with hamstring injury
9/11 - Texans won't scale back RB Arian Foster's workload
9/3 - Texans RB Arian Foster says he has something to prove, feels 'wonderful'
Latest References to Arian Foster on FFToolbox:
- Week 3: Player Upgrades New
- 2014 Team Outlook: Houston Texans
- 10 Players Who Were Last Year's Trash, but are This Year's Treasures
2014 Mock Draft Results
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 21
FFToolbox Mock Draft July 14
July 14, 2014
|2.09||Fantasy Taz - Foster has a great shot at comeback player of the year. Team is already talking about throwing to him more and with many questions at QB, he should get at least 20 touches a game. Most are already writing Foster off, but he is only 27 and I look for a strong bounce-back year for him.|
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